GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/16/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Plovdiv hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv PlovdivDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Botev PlovdivWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
16.7Attack46.7
58.3Defence46.7
25.0Form46.7
36.6Power49.7
1.13xG1.15
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