Lokomotiv Plovdivvs
Botev Plovdiv
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/16/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Plovdiv hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40