Lokomotiv Oslovs
Ullern
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ullern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv Oslo 2-3 Ullern
Original prediction
Ullern
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.3% | 30.9% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.3% | 19.1% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.4% | 50.0% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Ullern
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Ullern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40