GGOALVIO

Norway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 9/26/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamle Oslo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lokomotiv Oslo 4-1 Gamle Oslo

Original prediction

Gamle Oslo

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.4420.3%32.9%12.6 pts
Draw5.1417.5%22.5%4.9 pts
Away1.4562.1%44.6%-17.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–27%
  2. 2.1–26%
  3. 3.2–16%

Predicted outcome

Gamle Oslo

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Gamle Oslo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv OsloLWWLL

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Gamle OsloLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Lokomotiv OsloGamle Oslo
66.7Attack86.7
100.0Defence48.0
100.0Form53.3
89.7Power60.1
2.36xG2.45
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