Lokomotiv Oslovs
Bærum
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bærum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv Oslo 5-2 Bærum
Original prediction
Bærum
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.86 | 15.3% | 29.3% | 14.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.19 | 17.3% | 22.0% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 67.3% | 48.7% | -18.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Bærum
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Bærum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20