Lokomotiv Moskva U19vs
Zenit U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 1-3 Zenit U19
Original prediction
Zenit U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.6% | 37.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 21.1% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.3% | 41.2% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Zenit U19
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Zenit U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80