Lokomotiv Moskva U19vs
Rubin Kazan U20
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 1-3 Rubin Kazan U20
Original prediction
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 73.1% | 79.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.37 | 16.9% | 12.1% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 9.02 | 10.0% | 8.8% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Probability
79.1%
Model confidence
79.1%
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60