Lokomotiv Moskva U19vs
Rostov U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 1-0 Rostov U19
Original prediction
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.6% | 56.3% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.0% | 22.3% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.5% | 21.5% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60