Lokomotiv Moskva U19vs
Chertanovo U20
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (11%), 4-1 (10%), 5-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 3-1 Chertanovo U20
Original prediction
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.4% | 68.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.53 | 16.4% | 17.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 8.88 | 10.2% | 14.3% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–011%
- 2.4–110%
- 3.5–010%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Probability
68.6%
Model confidence
68.6%
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00