GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/24/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zvyahel · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zvyahel are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zvyahel hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 76.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the Druha Liga, while Zvyahel holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zvyahel

Probability

75.3%

Model confidence

75.3%

Zvyahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ZvyahelWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivZvyahel
44.9Attack80.8
44.9Defence78.2
38.5Form75.6
43.7Power76.0
0.72xG2.70
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