GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/12/2026, 10:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Trostianets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TrostianetsWWDDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivTrostianets
44.9Attack33.3
44.9Defence83.3
38.5Form50.0
43.7Power56.2
1.27xG1.46
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