GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 5/17/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Trostianets are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWDWWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
TrostianetsWLDLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lokomotiv KyivTrostianets
44.9Attack33.3
44.9Defence83.3
38.5Form50.0
43.7Power56.2
1.27xG1.46
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