GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Trostianets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TrostianetsWDWLW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivTrostianets
44.9Attack33.3
44.9Defence83.3
38.5Form50.0
43.7Power56.2
1.27xG1.46
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