GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/12/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Skala 1911 Stryi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Skala 1911 Stryi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Skala 1911 Stryi hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Druha Liga, while Skala 1911 Stryi holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Skala 1911 Stryi

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Skala 1911 Stryi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivDDLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Skala 1911 StryiWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivSkala 1911 Stryi
44.9Attack44.4
44.9Defence55.6
38.5Form48.6
43.7Power51.1
1.26xG1.38
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