GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/29/2025, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rebel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Rebel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rebel hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Druha Liga, while Rebel holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rebel

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Rebel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivDLDWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RebelLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivRebel
44.9Attack100.0
44.9Defence0.0
38.5Form50.0
43.7Power52.0
1.59xG1.76
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