GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/11/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Pharm are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Kyiv hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Druha Liga, while Lokomotiv Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

61.4%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Real PharmLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivReal Pharm
44.9Attack22.2
44.9Defence34.6
38.5Form21.0
43.7Power28.7
1.99xG0.80
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