GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Probiy Horodenka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Probiy Horodenka are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Probiy Horodenka hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Cup, while Probiy Horodenka holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Probiy Horodenka

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

13.9%

Probiy Horodenka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Probiy HorodenkaDLWDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lokomotiv KyivProbiy Horodenka
16.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence58.3
50.0Form41.7
47.8Power54.1
1.24xG1.35
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