GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/7/2025, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Penuel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Penuel are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Penuel hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Druha Liga, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Penuel

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Penuel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWLDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PenuelDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivPenuel
44.9Attack44.4
44.9Defence55.6
38.5Form44.4
43.7Power51.1
1.37xG1.50
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