GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/18/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oleksandria II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Oleksandria II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oleksandria II hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Druha Liga, while Oleksandria II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oleksandria II

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Oleksandria II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Oleksandria IIWWDLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivOleksandria II
44.9Attack22.2
44.9Defence88.9
38.5Form55.6
43.7Power59.1
1.20xG1.37
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