GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/28/2024, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWLWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nyva VinnytsyaLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivNyva Vinnytsya
44.9Attack55.6
44.9Defence44.4
38.5Form44.4
43.7Power51.1
1.47xG1.60
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