GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/20/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nyva VinnytsyaDDDLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivNyva Vinnytsya
44.9Attack55.6
44.9Defence44.4
38.5Form44.4
43.7Power51.1
1.47xG1.60
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