GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLDW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Kyiv hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Druha Liga, while Lokomotiv Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivLLDW

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Metalurh Zaporizhya IIW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Lokomotiv KyivMetalurh Zaporizhya II
44.9Attack24.6
44.9Defence36.2
38.5Form33.3
43.7Power33.8
1.90xG0.81
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