GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 5/4/2025, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Kyiv hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 36.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Druha Liga, while Lokomotiv Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWWLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivMetalist 1925 II Kharkiv
44.9Attack42.6
44.9Defence27.8
38.5Form33.3
43.7Power36.9
2.14xG1.27
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