GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 3/31/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kudrivka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kudrivka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kudrivka hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Druha Liga, while Kudrivka holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kudrivka

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Kudrivka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivLLWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KudrivkaWDLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivKudrivka
44.9Attack51.3
44.9Defence51.3
38.5Form47.4
43.7Power49.3
1.39xG1.59
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