GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/22/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kremin' II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Kyiv hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 16.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.6% in the Druha Liga, while Lokomotiv Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

72.6%

Model confidence

72.6%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Kremin' IILLDLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivKremin' II
44.9Attack15.4
44.9Defence14.1
38.5Form7.7
43.7Power16.5
2.58xG0.77
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