GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/16/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Karpaty II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty II hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Druha Liga, while Lokomotiv Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Karpaty IILLWLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivKarpaty II
44.9Attack46.7
44.9Defence48.0
38.5Form48.0
43.7Power48.6
1.49xG1.44
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