GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/26/2025, 11:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hirnyk-Sport are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hirnyk-Sport hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hirnyk-SportLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivHirnyk-Sport
44.9Attack35.2
44.9Defence63.0
38.5Form48.1
43.7Power51.4
1.05xG1.09
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