GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/3/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Druzhba are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 2.75 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.5% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

72.5%

Model confidence

72.5%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivLLLLD

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DruzhbaWWWL

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.75/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Lokomotiv KyivDruzhba
44.9Attack74.7
44.9Defence81.3
38.5Form78.7
43.7Power76.4
0.72xG2.50
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