GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/19/2025, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chornomorets II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Kyiv hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Druha Liga, while Lokomotiv Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

58.2%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Chornomorets IILDWDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivChornomorets II
44.9Attack27.8
44.9Defence37.8
38.5Form26.7
43.7Power33.2
1.86xG0.82
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