Lokomotiv Kyivvs
Chernihiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 4/11/2025, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Lokomotiv Kyiv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chernihiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chernihiv
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60