GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/9/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Kyiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chayka are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChaykaDDDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivChayka
44.9Attack60.3
44.9Defence76.9
38.5Form65.4
43.7Power66.8
0.74xG1.96
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