GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/14/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Gomel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Gomel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Osipovichy are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Gomel hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the 1. Division, while Lokomotiv Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Gomel

Probability

83.0%

Model confidence

83.0%

Lokomotiv Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv GomelWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
OsipovichyLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.33/2.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
Lokomotiv GomelOsipovichy
57.3Attack37.0
58.3Defence7.4
64.6Form18.5
60.6Power24.2
3.50xG0.77
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