GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/2/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Gomel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Gomel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Gomel hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the 1. Division, while Lokomotiv Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Gomel

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Lokomotiv Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv GomelLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4DLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Lokomotiv GomelMolodechno-DYuSSh 4
57.3Attack50.0
58.3Defence38.9
64.6Form48.1
60.6Power46.4
2.38xG1.11
View match centre →