Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsavs
Dobrudzha
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-0 Dobrudzha
Original prediction
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.7% | 35.8% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.6% | 29.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.7% | 35.1% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40