Lokeren-Temsevs
KRC Genk II
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokeren-Temse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokeren-Temse 2-4 KRC Genk II
Original prediction
Lokeren-Temse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.9% | 53.0% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 23.1% | 24.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 21.0% | 22.9% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Lokeren-Temse
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Lokeren-Temse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00