Lokeren-Temsevs
Excelsior Virton
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokeren-Temse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokeren-Temse 1-1 Excelsior Virton
Original prediction
Lokeren-Temse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.9% | 38.7% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.3% | 24.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.8% | 36.6% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Lokeren-Temse
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Lokeren-Temse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40