GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 3/4/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Logan Lightning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Logan Lightning are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Southside Eagles are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Logan Lightning hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Queensland Premier League, while Logan Lightning holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Logan Lightning

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Logan Lightning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Logan LightningWL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Southside EaglesL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Logan LightningSouthside Eagles
59.1Attack53.0
37.9Defence36.4
40.9Form31.8
46.3Power41.0
2.56xG1.84
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