GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 3/18/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brisbane Strikers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Logan Lightning are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Brisbane Strikers are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 2.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Brisbane Strikers hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 77.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the Queensland Premier League, while Brisbane Strikers holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Brisbane Strikers

Probability

72.3%

Model confidence

72.3%

Brisbane Strikers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Logan LightningDWWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Brisbane StrikersDDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Logan LightningBrisbane Strikers
59.1Attack78.8
37.9Defence72.7
40.9Form81.8
46.3Power77.0
1.08xG3.06
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