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Lochin logoLochinvsShortan logoShortan

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Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 4/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lochin are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Shortan are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Pro League A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LochinWDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
ShortanDWWDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LochinShortan
51.1Attack51.1
62.2Defence68.9
55.6Form73.3
56.6Power66.9
0.99xG1.09
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