GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 10/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olimpik-Mobiuz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lochin 2-1 Olimpik-Mobiuz

Original prediction

Olimpik-Mobiuz

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6234.2%34.3%0.1 pts
Draw3.3726.7%25.2%-1.5 pts
Away2.3039.1%40.5%1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–19%
  3. 3.1–29%

Predicted outcome

Olimpik-Mobiuz

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Olimpik-Mobiuz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LochinWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Olimpik-MobiuzDDWLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LochinOlimpik-Mobiuz
50.8Attack63.2
60.3Defence61.4
55.6Form56.1
55.8Power60.3
1.25xG1.38
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