Lochee Unitedvs
Spartans
COMPLETEDScotland · FA Cup · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lochee United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lochee United 1-2 Spartans
Original prediction
Lochee United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.88 | 18.8% | 37.8% | 19.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 59.9% | 37.3% | -22.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lochee United
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Lochee United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20