Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Locarno 3-1 Baden
Original prediction
Baden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Baden
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Baden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LocarnoLDDDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BadenWLWWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LocarnoBaden
28.6Attack76.2
52.4Defence61.9
14.3Form76.2
35.0Power72.5
0.86xG2.07