Lobos Upnfmvs
Génesis
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 8/19/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Génesis · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lobos Upnfm are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Génesis are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Génesis hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Liga Nacional, while Génesis holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Génesis
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Génesis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33