GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 10/25/2026, 11:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Lobos Upnfm 0-1 CD Olimpia, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Lobos Upnfm 0-1 CD Olimpia

Original prediction

CD Olimpia

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.7923.8%14.5%-9.3 pts
Draw3.3027.3%22.4%-4.9 pts
Away1.8548.9%63.1%14.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

14.2 pts

Projected Score

Lobos Upnfm 0–1 CD Olimpia

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

CD Olimpia

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

63.1%

CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lobos UpnfmWDWWL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
CD OlimpiaLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Lobos UpnfmCD Olimpia
36.7Attack73.3
60.0Defence73.3
40.0Form76.7
46.2Power74.5
0.58xG1.75
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