Lobos ULMXvs
Los Cabos United
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lobos ULMX · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lobos ULMX 1-2 Los Cabos United
Original prediction
Lobos ULMX
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.1% | 41.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 27.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.2% | 30.8% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Lobos ULMX
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Lobos ULMX has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60