GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 7/30/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LNZ Cherkasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

LNZ Cherkasy are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Chornomorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and LNZ Cherkasy hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Premier League, while LNZ Cherkasy holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LNZ Cherkasy

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

LNZ Cherkasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LNZ CherkasyLWD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ChornomoretsWWLWD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LNZ CherkasyChornomorets
34.4Attack42.2
62.2Defence47.8
45.6Form35.6
49.2Power42.9
1.18xG0.85
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