GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/2/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Läänemaa Haapsalu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Läänemaa Haapsalu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Pärnu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Läänemaa Haapsalu hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Esiliiga B, while Läänemaa Haapsalu holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Läänemaa Haapsalu

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Läänemaa Haapsalu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Läänemaa HaapsaluLLWLW

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
PärnuLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Läänemaa HaapsaluPärnu
59.6Attack42.6
21.1Defence13.0
40.4Form26.9
41.9Power29.9
3.70xG1.91
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