Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Lüneburger SK Hansa

Lüneburger SK Hansa

Home
DD
40
Full time
FC Lok Stendal

FC Lok Stendal

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Lüneburger SK Hansa53%
Draw35%
FC Lok Stendal12%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Lüneburger SK Hansa
53%
Draw
35%
FC Lok Stendal
12%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Lüneburger SK Hansa
18
FC Lok Stendal
9
Defence
Lüneburger SK Hansa
82
FC Lok Stendal
27
Momentum
Lüneburger SK Hansa
33
FC Lok Stendal
0
Danger (xG)
Lüneburger SK Hansa
0.45
FC Lok Stendal
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.87 xG for Lüneburger SK Hansa and 0.30 xG for FC Lok Stendal. FC Lok Stendal's projected xG of 0.30 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Lüneburger SK Hansa's Defensive Stability Score (82) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (9). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.17 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Lüneburger SK Hansa's Defensive Stability (82) and FC Lok Stendal's (27) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Lüneburger SK Hansa)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (FC Lok Stendal)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Lüneburger SK Hansa)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (FC Lok Stendal)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Lüneburger SK HansaLüneburger SK Hansa
DD
FC Lok StendalFC Lok Stendal
L

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Lüneburger SK Hansa53%
Draw35%
FC Lok Stendal12%

Lüneburger SK Hansa leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Lüneburger SK Hansa Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Lüneburger SK Hansa host FC Lok Stendal in Friendlies Clubs. Lüneburger SK Hansa have recorded WWDWWW in recent matches while FC Lok Stendal arrive with a run of WLWLLW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.87 for Lüneburger SK Hansa and 0.30 for FC Lok Stendal. The gap of 2.57 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Lüneburger SK Hansa have been conceding 1.71 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Lüneburger SK Hansa

Lüneburger SK Hansa

D
@ Borussia Hildesheim
17 May 2026
00
D
vs Heeslinger SC
13 May 2026
11
FC Lok Stendal

FC Lok Stendal

L
@ Union Sandersdorf
17 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lüneburger SK Hansa vs FC Lok Stendal?

GoalVio's model predicts Lüneburger SK Hansa to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Lüneburger SK Hansa vs FC Lok Stendal?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Lüneburger SK Hansa vs FC Lok Stendal?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lüneburger SK Hansa vs FC Lok Stendal?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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