GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/10/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lleida Esportiu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lleida Esportiu are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Terrassa are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lleida Esportiu hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, while Lleida Esportiu holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lleida Esportiu

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Lleida Esportiu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lleida EsportiuWLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
TerrassaLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Lleida EsportiuTerrassa
44.1Attack44.1
69.6Defence60.8
56.9Form49.0
58.1Power53.3
1.13xG0.72
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