GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/18/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Llapi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Llapi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wisla Krakow are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wisla Krakow hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Llapi holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Llapi

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Llapi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LlapiLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wisla KrakowWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LlapiWisla Krakow
16.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence25.0
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power43.4
1.56xG1.53
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