Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malisheva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llapi 0-4 Malisheva
Original prediction
Malisheva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.2% | 24.9% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.6% | 24.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.2% | 51.1% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Malisheva
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Malisheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LlapiWLLLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MalishevaLWWDW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LlapiMalisheva
53.3Attack86.7
13.3Defence66.7
20.0Form66.7
29.3Power70.2
1.12xG2.27